Alan Greenspan Is Worried About Jobless Americans

Alan Greenspan Is Worried About Jobless Americans


Date: Tuesday, December 15, 2009 3:42 PM


<<<<< JOB DESTRUCTION NEWSLETTER No. 2058 -- 12/15/2009 >>>>>

Bloomberg reports that Greenspan is very worried about jobless Americans:

Greenspan said the number of workers who have remained jobless for
long periods during the recession is "what really concerns me."

"These people are losing their skills," Greenspan said. "It is very
critical that those people have the skills when the economy comes
back or we will not be as productive as we ought to be." [Greenspan
Sees Jobs Rebound as Stretched Companies Boost Output ]

Greenspan worries way too much -- because Americans that have outmoded job
skills and out-of-date PhDs from schools like MIT will have plenty of time to
go to their local community colleges to get up to speed once companies are
hiring again. What Greenspan really means is that the H-1B cap needs to be
increased NOW so that the instant employers need someone with the skills-of-
the-day, geniuses from Mumbai can come here and hit the ground running.

Remember in 2000 when Greenspan was worried about shortages of workers that
will result if immigration was restricted?

Imbalances in the labor markets perhaps may have even more serious
implications for potential inflation pressures. While the pool of
officially unemployed and those otherwise willing to work may
continue to shrink, as it has persistently over the past seven
years, there is an effective limit to new hiring, unless
immigration is uncapped.

Just a year ago in 2008 Greenspan seemed far less worried about jobless
Americans than the scary scenario of Americans demanding and getting higher
salaries. Well, at least that problem was solved!

"Significantly opening up immigration to skilled workers solves
two problems," he said. The companies could hire the educated
workers they need. And those workers would compete with
high-income people, driving more income equality".

Greenspan helped create the housing bubble but he also knows how to solve it
[2008 WSJ article]. Once again, the solution is to let in more H-1Bs.
Are you surprised?

"The most effective initiative, though politically difficult,
would be a major expansion in quotas for skilled immigrants,"
he said. The only sustainable way to increase demand for vacant
houses is to spur the formation of new households. Admitting
more skilled immigrants, who tend to earn enough to buy homes,
would accomplish that while paying other dividends to the
U.S. economy.



<<< LINKS >>>

Blog Version:
http://blog.vdare.com/archives/2009/12/15/alan-greenspan-is-worried-about-jobless-americans/


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ajkMMxHEkpmA
Greenspan Sees Jobs Rebound as Stretched Companies Boost Output, 2009


http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2000/20000306.htm
Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan
The revolution in information technology Before the Boston College Conference
on the New Economy, Boston, Massachusetts March 6, 2000


http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/dn/latestnews/stories/021508dnbusgreenspan.c1d69e5d.html
Greenspan: U.S. economy on edge of recession, February 14, 2008


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121865515167837815.html
Greenspan Sees Bottom In Housing, Criticizes Bailout, AUGUST 14, 2008

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ajkMMxHEkpmA

Greenspan Sees Jobs Rebound as Stretched Companies Boost Output Share Business
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By Mike Dorning

Dec. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said
today he expects a quick rebound in jobs because companies are stretched to
expand production after workforce cuts made during the recession.

Greenspan said on NBC s "Meet the Press" program that businesses were "very
frightened" by the financial crisis and deterioration of the U.S.
economy early this year and cut their payrolls so deeply that they will have
to begin hiring soon.

"We have a level of employment at this stage which is barely adequate to staff
the level of output," Greenspan said. "It seems to me virtually inevitable --
if nothing else were to happen -- that employment would start to come back
fairly quickly."

Greenspan said that even as companies begin adding workers the unemployment
rate may continue to rise because the economy needs to add 100,000 jobs per
month simply to keep even with population growth.

Many workers who lost jobs during the recession and later gave up looking for
work are likely to return to seeking jobs, he added. They would then be
counted in unemployment statistics, which exclude people not actively
searching for work.

"That will make the hurdle as to bringing unemployment down quite difficult,"
Greenspan said.

The unemployment rate in November dropped to 10 percent from 10.2 percent the
previous month, when it reached the highest in 26 years. Nonfarm payrolls
dropped by 11,000 in November.

Remaining Jobless

Greenspan said the number of workers who have remained jobless for long
periods during the recession is "what really concerns me."

In November, 5.9 million U.S. workers had been jobless for 27 weeks or more,
the most recorded since 1948. The long-term jobless now make up 38 percent of
the unemployed population.

"These people are losing their skills," Greenspan said. "It is very critical
that those people have the skills when the economy comes back or we will not
be as productive as we ought to be."

Greenspan said the country is experiencing a divide between "two economies,"
one for large businesses and wealthy individuals and the other for small
businesses, small banks and the unemployed.

"I m very concerned about where the job machine is relative to small
businesses, which are doing miserably," Greenspan said. "They re having great
difficulty financing and great difficulty creating jobs."

To contact the reporter on this story: Mike Dorning in Washington at
mdorning@bloomberg.net Last Updated: December 13, 2009 11:58 EST


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